Navia CF vs Fabril CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
POD
1 - 1
NAI
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 1
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAI
0 - 1
PDV
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 1
NAI
26%
23%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAI
1 - 1
HIS
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FAB
3 - 1
NAR
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 0
FAB
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FAB
1 - 1
ATL
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 4
FAB
24%
20%
56%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FAB
2 - 1
COD
79%
12%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |