Navbahor vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
3º
45
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 2
ALH
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 1
NAV
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 0
BUN
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 3
NAV
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 1
NAS
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
QIZ
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
NEF
5 - 0
FKE
78%
15%
8%
|
66 | 29 | 37 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 3
NEF
20%
27%
53%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 1
FKO
46%
26%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BUN
2 - 1
NEF
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |