Navbahor vs Buxoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
3º
15
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
NAV
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 1
NAV
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 1
FKO
35%
30%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
BUN
1 - 5
NAV
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
AND
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Buxoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 1
AND
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BUX
1 - 1
SHO
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
OLM
3 - 1
BUX
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 2
SOG
29%
27%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 0
BUX
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |