Las Navas vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2574%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Navas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SJO
0 - 1
LAS
62%
19%
18%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LAS
2 - 2
INT
16%
18%
67%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
7 - 0
LAS
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LAS
0 - 2
CUE
22%
18%
60%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LAS
1 - 3
COL
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
UPP
28%
23%
49%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
69%
19%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
UXA
32%
26%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CFB
3 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAL
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |