Navas CD vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
19%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAV
53%
20%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 2
CDV
73%
15%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDT
3 - 1
NAV
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAN
85%
10%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
IDJ
2 - 4
NAV
28%
23%
50%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BAE
0 - 1
CAR
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
BAE
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAE
0 - 3
ATL
41%
22%
37%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BEG
2 - 0
BAE
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAE
3 - 1
CDR
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |