Navarro vs Llanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CUD
1 - 2
NAV
45%
26%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NAV
4 - 1
CON
39%
27%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LEA
0 - 1
NAV
41%
27%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 0
AVI
29%
27%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
NAL
1 - 2
NAV
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CON
4 - 0
LLA
32%
27%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LLA
0 - 0
AVI
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
RIB
1 - 0
LLA
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LLA
3 - 3
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
UPL
1 - 0
LLA
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |