Navarro vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 1
GIN
44%
26%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LUA
0 - 0
NAV
36%
27%
38%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAI
2 - 1
NAV
54%
23%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 0
AND
50%
25%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
4 - 2
NAV
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
LEA
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEA
2 - 0
UPL
20%
25%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
LEA
63%
23%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
LEA
2 - 2
CEA
40%
26%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUA
0 - 0
LEA
41%
27%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |