Navarro vs La Fresneda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AST
1 - 1
NAV
57%
23%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 2
ROC
24%
26%
50%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ESM
3 - 1
NAV
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 1
SIE
26%
25%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BER
3 - 0
NAV
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 0
COM
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
FRE
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 0
AND
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 2
MUR
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AST
3 - 1
FRE
59%
22%
20%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |