Prev. Taça da Liga Final
Global 3-4
Naval vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 1
SCF
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAV
49%
28%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 1
SPC
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
VST
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
VST
2 - 1
RIO
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SCP
3 - 0
VST
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VST
1 - 0
BMA
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |