Naval vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
EST
3 - 1
NAV
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 1
BEL
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
POR
4 - 3
NAV
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 2
VST
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
UDL
2 - 2
NAV
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
VST
1 - 1
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
GON
0 - 3
VST
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 2
VST
51%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |