Naval vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
UDL
2 - 2
NAV
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SLB
2 - 1
NAV
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
NAV
0 - 1
AVE
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SCP
4 - 0
NAV
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 1
PAÇ
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SCP
3 - 1
VST
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
VST
1 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2007 |
SPB
0 - 0
VST
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
VST
1 - 3
BMA
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |