Naval vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FCM
4 - 2
NAV
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 2
OVA
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LEX
0 - 1
NAV
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 2
UNM
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 0
NAV
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VST
2 - 1
SPC
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SAL
0 - 4
VST
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VST
5 - 1
FEL
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
EST
1 - 2
VST
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VST
1 - 3
AVE
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |