Naval vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
TOU
49%
27%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
NAV
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 1
POM
58%
22%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 5
PAM
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 0
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLI
42%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
6 - 0
POM
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |