Naval vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PAM
5 - 0
NAV
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
2 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 0
NAV
24%
25%
52%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 2
TOU
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
NAV
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
BEN
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 3
VIT
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
POM
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ADN
2 - 0
VIT
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 0
TOU
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |