Naval vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SCP
0 - 0
NAV
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NAV
1 - 4
GFC
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ACA
2 - 2
NAV
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAÇ
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VST
4 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
UDL
1 - 1
EST
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
UDL
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
47%
28%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
1 - 1
UDL
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2006 |
UDL
0 - 0
BOA
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |