Naval vs Uniao Lamas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAI
3 - 0
NAV
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 0
FEL
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
NAV
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 1
PEN
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 1
NAV
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Lamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
CHA
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 0
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAL
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
EST
3 - 2
UNI
65%
21%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
UNM
0 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |