Naval vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
OVA
1 - 1
NAV
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 0
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
NAV
1 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
NAV
5 - 0
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
NAC
3 - 2
NAV
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
OLI
1 - 1
FEL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MOR
3 - 1
OLI
51%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ACA
2 - 1
OLI
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
OLI
1 - 2
AVE
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |