Naval vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
NAV
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 1
MAR
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
NAV
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 0
SCP
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
VSC
2 - 2
NAV
21%
28%
51%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 0
BRA
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
TRO
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
4 - 2
POR
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SCF
4 - 2
TRO
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 0
TRO
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |