Naval vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
NAV
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 1
POM
58%
22%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
NAV
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 3
NAV
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 0
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 2
TOU
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 0
SOU
33%
28%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
TOU
54%
25%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
POM
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |