Naval vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 3
NAV
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
BMA
46%
25%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 0
ARO
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 1
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 2
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 2
AVE
31%
29%
41%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
SPC
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 0
TON
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
SPC
71%
20%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 3
UNM
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |