Naval vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 3
SPB
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAV
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
3 - 3
FEL
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
EST
4 - 0
NAV
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
NAV
0 - 1
AVE
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPC
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 2
SAL
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
FEL
3 - 1
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SPC
0 - 1
EST
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 0
AVE
36%
28%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |