Naval vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
0 - 0
SPB
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AVE
0 - 0
NAV
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
ALV
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
4 - 0
UNM
60%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
OVA
0 - 2
NAV
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
FCM
0 - 0
SPC
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
SPC
1 - 1
CHA
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
FAR
1 - 1
SPC
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
SPC
3 - 2
SAL
29%
26%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PRA
0 - 2
SPC
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |