Naval vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 3
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 3
NAV
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
BMA
46%
25%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 0
ARO
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 1
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SPB
3 - 0
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 4
SPB
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 2
GAL
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
FCP
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |