Naval vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 2
NAV
40%
30%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 4
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAV
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
5 - 3
NAV
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VST
0 - 1
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
SPB
3 - 0
SDL
36%
28%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SPB
0 - 1
LEX
63%
24%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 3
SPB
68%
21%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SPB
2 - 0
PAÇ
59%
23%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |