Naval vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAV
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
3 - 3
FEL
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
EST
4 - 0
NAV
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
NAV
0 - 1
AVE
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
FCM
0 - 0
NAV
23%
24%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
GFC
1 - 0
SPB
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
SPB
1 - 1
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
NAC
5 - 1
SPB
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 2
SPB
44%
25%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |