Naval vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
NAV
11%
18%
72%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
POR
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 0
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SCF
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 1
NAV
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 1
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
SOU
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 0
GDA
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |