Naval vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 0
LEX
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SCP
3 - 1
NAV
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
PAÇ
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
NAV
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 2
SLB
18%
23%
58%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LEX
1 - 0
RIO
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 3
NAC
34%
29%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |