Naval vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ACA
5 - 1
NAV
53%
23%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
NAV
5 - 1
SCF
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
VAR
4 - 1
NAV
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
NAV
1 - 0
IMO
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 2
NAV
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
IMO
0 - 2
RIO
25%
26%
50%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
RIO
3 - 1
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
OVA
1 - 3
RIO
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
RIO
1 - 0
FEL
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
NAC
3 - 0
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -2 |