Naval vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEX
0 - 2
NAV
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
NAV
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
ARO
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
NAV
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
UNM
1 - 3
NAV
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
MOR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
UNM
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 1
POR
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
24%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |