Naval vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
FEI
0 - 1
NAV
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAV
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 3
SPB
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAV
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
1 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
FEL
60%
22%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 4
AVE
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |