Naval vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
NAV
1 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
NAV
5 - 0
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
NAC
3 - 2
NAV
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
VST
2 - 1
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
NAV
0 - 3
ESP
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 1
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
PEN
0 - 2
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
PEN
2 - 2
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
MAI
3 - 1
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |