Naval vs Pampilhosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
NAV
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 2
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
POM
2 - 1
NAV
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
BEN
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
NAV
15%
19%
66%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 0
PAM
33%
28%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 0
ADN
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
PAM
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |