Naval vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 0
NAV
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 2
NAV
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
UNM
2 - 0
NAV
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
OVA
2 - 0
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 0
OVA
49%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
OVA
3 - 1
SAL
40%
25%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
OVA
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 0
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |