Naval vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
29%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 5
CAR
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAF
14 - 1
NAV
70%
20%
10%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 4
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 0
ALC
23%
24%
52%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
NAV
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 2
OLE
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAL
14%
21%
66%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +4 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALC
3 - 0
OLE
70%
19%
12%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
OLE
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 1
MAF
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |