Naval vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
ACA
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 0
NAV
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
NAV
0 - 1
CHA
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 3
SAL
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
FEL
0 - 2
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ACA
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |