Naval vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
NAV
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 3
NAV
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAM
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
NAV
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 2
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
VIT
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOU
32%
25%
42%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 3
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
POM
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +3 |