Naval vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
UDL
0 - 2
NAV
46%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 4
SCP
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SPB
3 - 0
NAV
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
2 - 1
LEX
46%
27%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 1
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAC
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
19%
25%
57%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
VST
1 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
EST
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |