Naval vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 0
NAV
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
9 - 0
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 3
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 0
NAV
59%
24%
17%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 2
OLE
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAF
0 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAF
22%
28%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MAF
2 - 0
OLE
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAF
16%
23%
61%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAF
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |