Naval vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UNM
2 - 2
NAV
27%
28%
46%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LEX
0 - 2
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAV
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
LEX
1 - 1
SPC
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LEX
0 - 2
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SAL
3 - 1
LEX
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LEX
0 - 0
FEL
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
EST
3 - 0
LEX
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |