Naval vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
MAI
4 - 2
NAV
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 2
CAM
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
POR
2 - 2
NAV
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 0
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
OVA
1 - 1
NAV
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
MOR
2 - 1
LEC
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 2
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 1
AVE
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |