Naval vs FC Felgueiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
EST
4 - 0
NAV
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
NAV
0 - 1
AVE
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
FCM
0 - 0
NAV
23%
24%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NAV
5 - 0
MAI
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
VST
3 - 0
NAV
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Felgueiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
FEL
3 - 1
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SAL
1 - 1
FEL
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
FEL
2 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
EST
2 - 0
FEL
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
FEL
1 - 1
AVE
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |