Naval vs FC Felgueiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
NAV
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 1
PEN
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 1
NAV
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAV
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 1
FCM
62%
20%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Felgueiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
FEL
1 - 0
MOR
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
FEL
2 - 2
CHA
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
FAR
0 - 1
FEL
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
2 - 0
FEL
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ODI
1 - 2
FEL
24%
23%
53%
|
55 | 13 | 42 | 0 |