CN Seniores Play Descenso Final
Global 4-3
Naval vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 2
NAV
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
NAV
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 2
NAV
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FAT
6 - 0
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 1
UDL
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ELE
2 - 0
FAT
46%
26%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |