Naval vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
NAV
4 - 1
BOA
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 1
NAV
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAV
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
NAV
0 - 1
ACA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BOA
2 - 0
NAV
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
EST
4 - 1
VIT
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
SLB
3 - 0
EST
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
VST
40%
28%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |