Naval vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
FCM
0 - 0
NAV
23%
24%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NAV
5 - 0
MAI
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
VST
3 - 0
NAV
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 1
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 2
NAV
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 0
AVE
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
SAL
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
FEL
1 - 1
AVE
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 1
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 0
AVE
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |