Naval vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
NAV
15%
24%
62%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
PAM
75%
17%
9%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
NAV
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 1
NAV
23%
26%
52%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
7%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
MAN
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 3
ADM
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAM
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |