Naval vs Braganca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
NAV
0 - 1
ACA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
EST
0 - 0
NAV
39%
30%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
NAV
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
VST
0 - 3
NAV
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
NAV
2 - 1
UDL
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
BRA
1 - 2
FCP
10%
20%
71%
|
41 | 88 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
BRA
3 - 2
RIO
13%
21%
65%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
BRA
2 - 0
VAR
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PEN
1 - 2
BRA
46%
23%
30%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
SLB
6 - 0
BRA
99%
1%
0%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |