Naval vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
NAV
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 3
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
UDL
0 - 2
NAV
46%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 4
SCP
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SPB
3 - 0
NAV
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOA
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BOA
0 - 0
SLB
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
VST
3 - 1
BOA
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BOA
2 - 1
EST
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |