Naval vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAV
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NAV
2 - 1
BEL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAV
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 0
RIO
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
NAV
2 - 2
BOA
31%
28%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 1
SLB
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 1
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
MUD
2 - 1
SLB
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |