Naval vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 1
NAV
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 1
TRO
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
NAV
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 2
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 1
LEX
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
PAÇ
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 0
SPC
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |